IPCC Report Animation

 

An interactive tool visualizing results of the 5 IPCC Assessment Reports

 

The Novim Group conducts focused studies of significant societal issues, prepared in a non-partisan atmosphere emphasizing only the underlying science. This proposed study will concentrate on a cogent presentation of reports completed to date by the Intergovernmental Program for Climate Change (IPCC). Although publically available, IPCC reports are steeped in scientific jargon, often difficult for the layman to fathom. Novim will not be conducting new research, but instead taking these existing peer-reviewed papers, analyzing them through a non-partisan lens, and developing Web and mobile applications allowing users to view and interact with the complex information. The applications will utilize new techniques in “augmented reality” to overlay pertinent localized data on top of a visual display.

 

Phase I scoping workshop

A group of scientists and researchers will convene for 2 days later this summer to review Novim’s proposal, and establish project guidelines and scoping for the execution phases. Potential members of this group are now being contacted.

 

Phase II building an animated application

A Web site/mobile app will be developed to visually simplify the vast information provided by the most recent IPCC report­­–AR5 and animate the interactions. This will require synthesizing the results contained in over 2000 pages of data on climate change projected out to 2100. Much of the data will be taken from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), a collection of 42 climate models, all running the same scenarios. Users will be able to see the variability of the predictions for 4 different versions of the future.

 

Phase III adding mitigation strategies

Finally, Novim will examine how, in the opinion of the IPCC reports, the concentration of GHGs can be mitigated, particularly focusing on the effects of evolving processes and technologies. In the IPCC AR5, the CMIP5 is run against 4 GHG concentration scenarios, called representative concentration pathways (RCPs) that predict the level of GHGs in the atmosphere. The RCPs were developed by different groups, and at different times, and reflect varying views on how the concentrations will evolve, some very optimistic, some pessimistic. Because these scenarios are the primary driver of the climate change models, this should make the relationship between technological advances and climate change clearer.